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Just caught something interesting while looking at how AI keeps reshaping the market. The whole tech sector is getting whipped around right now, but here's what most people are missing: the real opportunity isn't in chasing the hype--it's in picking up what panic has thrown on sale.
Let me walk you through this. A few weeks back, I was digging into three tech-focused closed-end funds (CEFs) in our portfolio: BSTZ, BST, and STK. Over the last three months, all three crushed the XLK ETF--and it wasn't even close. STK led the charge, followed by BST and BSTZ. That's not luck. That's what happens when you have actual humans managing money, doing real due diligence, and staying ahead of sector rotations.
Now, everyone's talking about the SaaS collapse like it's the end of the world. But if you zoom out, something else is happening that matters way more. Remember all that bubble talk about AI being in a bubble? That conversation peaked around Thanksgiving and then just... stopped. Google Trends shows it clearly--the bubble talk bubble burst. That shift in narrative is huge because it means the market is finally moving past the "is AI real?" question and into "how much value will it actually create?" That's progress.
Here's where the contrarian move comes in: while everyone's panicking about AI replacing software engineers and companies like Microsoft and Salesforce, the actual data tells a different story. Tech layoffs are actually declining compared to 2022-2023. The fear mongering in the headlines doesn't match what's happening on the ground.
Why? Because technology has always created more jobs than it destroys. Back in the '90s, everyone swore computers would kill entry-level positions. Instead? Administrative assistant jobs exploded. Same pattern. AI will likely follow the same playbook.
So here's my take: SaaS companies aren't going anywhere. They've got proprietary infrastructure, expertise, and relationships that no amateur with an AI tool can replicate. The selloff is overdone, and that's exactly when smart money moves.
Looking at STK specifically--it's yielding around 4.6% right now, with a management team that's been doing this for 30 years. Paul Wick runs the show with a 12-person squad that focuses on the long game and tunes out short-term noise. They're not getting caught up in bubble talk; they're looking at real structural shifts. The fund's currently trading at a 3.6% discount to NAV, which is solid considering it averaged a 2.9% premium over five years.
The portfolio is leaning into hardware plays like NVIDIA, Broadcom, and Marvell right now, which gives them plenty of room to load up on bargain software stocks as this panic eventually settles. That's the kind of positioning you want when fear is driving prices down.
If you're looking to play this AI wave without getting caught in the noise and bubble talk, CEFs with serious management teams are where you want to be. The yields are solid, the discounts are real, and the management knows how to separate signal from noise. This is exactly the kind of setup where patient capital gets rewarded.