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Just caught VET's Q4 earnings and honestly, pretty solid surprise here. Vermilion Energy crushed estimates with $0.63 per share versus the expected $0.30 - that's a 110% beat. Coming off a loss last year, seeing this kind of swing is pretty significant for a veteran symbol in the oil and gas space.
Here's the thing though - revenues came in at $329M, which actually missed consensus by about 15%. So earnings beat but top line disappointed. That's worth watching. The company's been hit or miss on revenue estimates lately, which is why some caution is warranted despite the EPS surprise.
What caught my eye is how this veteran ticker has actually outperformed the market this year - up 37% while the S&P 500 is basically flat. That's the kind of performance that makes you wonder if there's more room to run or if it's already priced in.
The real question now is what management says on the call and where estimates go from here. Right now consensus is looking for $0.24 next quarter and $0.64 for the full year. Not exactly screaming upside, but the energy sector itself is in the top quartile of industries, which could be a tailwind. Probably worth monitoring how the narrative shifts in the coming days.