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Just been watching cotton prices this week and they're basically sitting flat, nothing too exciting happening. Crude oil's been doing some heavy lifting though - up like a buck fifty to $76, which usually gives cotton a little boost. Meanwhile the dollar's pulling back a bit, down to $98.77, and that tends to help commodities too. It's interesting how these outside markets act as an on-off switch for where cotton wants to go.
Looking at the actual contract data, March futures closed around 62 cents, May was at 64, and July hit 66 - all up 12-15 points from the previous day. But here's the thing, they're not holding those gains this morning. The Cotlook index dropped 95 points to 74.95, so there's definitely some pressure underneath. ICE stocks are sitting steady at about 129k bales, which isn't moving the needle either way.
The Adjusted World Price ticked up almost 2 cents last week to 51.84, but honestly it feels like the market's looking for a real catalyst to shift. These price swings are small, and without something concrete, cotton's just treading water. Traders are basically flipping the on-off switch based on whatever the crude and dollar do, rather than any actual cotton-specific news.