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Been watching WM (Waste Management) lately and there's actually an interesting case to be made for holding on right now. Stock's up 6.7% over the past month while the broader industry is only seeing 2.5% growth - that kind of outperformance usually signals something worth paying attention to.
What caught my eye is the earnings trajectory they're projecting. First quarter 2026 earnings are expected to grow 5.4% year over year, which isn't explosive but it's solid. Looking further out, 2026 and 2027 are looking at 8.8% and 14% growth respectively. Revenue expectations of 5.3% and 5.6% for those same years suggest the company's actually managing to expand while keeping costs in check. That's the kind of consistency you want to see from a defensive play.
The company's got some real structural advantages here. Their waste collection, recycling and disposal infrastructure is pretty robust, and they're not just sitting on that - they're actively converting landfill gas into renewable energy. Recently they brought seven new renewable natural gas facilities online and automated five recycling facilities. They're also expanding into four new markets. These aren't flashy moves but they compound over time.
Here's something that matters for income investors: WM's been paying dividends consistently since 1998. The trajectory is telling - 970 million in 2021, then 1.1 billion in both 2022 and 2023, jumping to 1.2 billion in 2024 and 1.3 billion in 2025. That's real shareholder value creation and it builds confidence.
Now the caveat - and it's worth noting. Their current ratio came in at 0.89 last quarter, sitting below the industry average of 1. When that ratio dips below 1, it raises questions about whether a company can comfortably meet short-term obligations. It's not a dealbreaker but it's definitely something to monitor.
Zacks has it ranked as a Hold (#3), which feels about right for where we are. If you're already holding, there's enough here to justify staying put. The growth expectations are reasonable, the dividend story is strong, and the business fundamentals support long-term sustainability. Just keep an eye on that liquidity situation as earnings reports come through.