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Just caught DIN's Q4 results and there's some interesting stuff here. Revenue came in at $217.6M, which was actually a miss compared to what analysts expected ($227.8M), but the earnings beat was pretty solid at $1.46 per share versus the $1.10 consensus.
Looking at the operational metrics, IHOP had 1,824 restaurants versus the 1,807 estimate, so they're slightly ahead on unit count. But same-store sales tell a different story - IHOP's domestic comps were basically flat at 0.3% when analysts were looking for 1.3%. Applebee's actually went negative at -0.4% against a 1.8% estimate, which is a bit concerning.
On the revenue side, DIN's franchise revenues came in at $163.2M, down 2.4% year-over-year and below the $170.68M estimate. Royalties and fees hit $93.6M (down 2.9%), and advertising revenue was $69.6M (down 1.8%). Rental revenues were $27.1M, also missing the $27.88M target and down 5.7% year-over-year.
The stock has been getting hit pretty hard - down 10% over the past month while the S&P 500 barely budged with a -0.3% move. Analysts have DIN ranked at number 4 (Sell), suggesting it could underperform from here. The mixed metrics suggest DIN is dealing with some real headwinds in the casual dining space, even though they beat on earnings per share. Worth keeping an eye on how traffic trends develop over the next quarter.