Just caught up on the sugar market action from last week. NY contracts got hit pretty hard - March futures dropped 1.23% after reports surfaced that China might slap higher taxes on sugary beverages. That kind of demand concern is exactly what undercuts prices when you've already got surplus concerns hanging over the market. Meanwhile, Brazil's production numbers are mixed. Sure, they crushed less cane for sugar recently, but the cumulative output is still tracking slightly positive year-over-year. Interesting disconnect there. What's really standing out to me though is how short funds have gotten in NY sugar. Their net short positions hit a record high just a few weeks back - that's the kind of extreme positioning that could flip fast if sentiment changes. Between India ramping up exports and multiple analysts calling for continued global surplus, the headwinds look real. But that extreme short covering could be a wild card.

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