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$RIVER From the market perspective, RIVER is experiencing an oversold rebound, rising over 19% today, but still down 52% over 30 days, with the long-term bearish pattern unchanged.
Short-term rebound target: current price around 7.22, if volume breaks through the previous high of 7.27, there is a chance to inertia push to 8.0-8.5 to complete a wave of rebound.
Market maker operation simulation:
1. Data cooperation to drive the rally: Whales and traders have an overall long-short ratio of 72%-77%, but profit ratio is only 13%-19%, most longs are still at a loss. Market makers are likely to continue pushing up, turning these chasing high chips from loss to profit, creating a wealth effect to attract retail follow-up.
2. Key position distribution: After pushing to the strong resistance zone of 8.0-8.5, using the high nominal long-short ratio of whales and the hottest sentiment, they may sideways distribute or dump.
3. Ultimate goal: In the short term, this wave is to squeeze out the shorts and fatten the longs before harvesting. Without substantial spot support, it’s purely contract speculation; raising prices to sell is highly probable, and the medium-term trend still points downward.