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just went through some analyst reports and the cloud chase between Microsoft and its competitors is getting wild. Azure's supposedly decelerating to 37-38% growth next quarter which is crazy when you think about how much they're spending on infrastructure. Plus they've got like 45% of their backlog tied to OpenAI deals - that's a lot of concentration risk if you ask me.
NVIDIA's another story though. Up 44% this year and they're printing money off the AI chip demand, but apparently Blackwell GPU supply is still tight and AMD's breathing down their neck. The U.S.-China tech tensions aren't helping either.
JPMorgan's been steady, up 14.5% YTD but lagging their industry. They're expecting NII to jump almost 9% in 2026 which is solid, though the macro backdrop's got people worried about asset quality. They're dropping $19.8 billion on tech this year which is insane.
The interesting part is watching how these mega-cap plays are dealing with different headwinds - Microsoft's got the cloud infrastructure costs and customer concentration, NVIDIA's fighting supply and competition, JPMorgan's dealing with macro uncertainty. All making different bets on where the money flows next.