I. Current Price and Core Judgment (2026-04-30)

• Current Price: $76,200 (24h ±0%, +13.5% for April)

• Short-term (1-2 weeks): $75,000–$78,500 range-bound, mildly bullish; direction depends on Fed and Middle East triggering factors/events

• Mid-term (1-3 months): The uptrend for bulls remains unchanged, with targets at $82,000–$85,000; a sustained breakdown below $73,000 would weaken the outlook

• Long-term (6-12 months): Institution-driven slow bull; supply scarcity + continued ETF inflows support new highs

II. Technical Analysis (Key Levels)

Support

• Strong Support: $75,300–$75,700 (Gamma Flip + 20-day moving average, the long/short balance pivot)

• Secondary Support: $74,000, $71,900 (strong support on pullbacks)

Resistance

• First Resistance: $77,150–$78,500 (upper boundary of short-term consolidation)

• Strong Resistance: $80,000 (Gamma heavy wall, key psychological level)

• Second Resistance: $82,000 (mid-term target)

Patterns and Indicators

• Daily chart: The rising channel remains intact; holds above the 100/200-day moving averages, with the base lifting

• Momentum: RSI ≈ 61 (healthy, mildly bullish); MACD golden cross; 4-hour momentum is weakening, leading to consolidation divergence