$SOL at $83, are you bottom fishing?



Monthly active addresses hit 167 million, a record high, Meta pays creators in USDC, South Korea’s 28 million cardholders are going on-chain, Alpenglow upgrades to reduce transaction times to 150 milliseconds— but what about the price? Dropped from 88 to 83, a 4.3% decline in a week, MACD still lying below the zero line.

First, look at the surface: price is falling, people are panicking.

In the past 24 hours, SOL dropped from 83.85 to 83.21, a 0.76% decline, not big but annoying. Daily chart swings between 82 and 88, like someone pressed underwater, just catching a breath then pushed down again.

Technical indicators are fighting:

- MACD remains below zero, negative histogram shows selling pressure persists.

- RSI rebounded from 21.06 to 55.54, indicating oversold buying interest is coming in, but not strongly enough.

- Key support: 82 is the first line, breaking below means heading to 80, and if 80 breaks, directly towards 77.6 or even 67-73.

First thing: ecosystem data exploded, but no one mentions it.

In April, SOL’s monthly active holders reached 167 million, a new high. New addresses grew over 35%.

Second thing: institutions and giants are quietly paving the way.

- South Korean Card: 28 million cardholders in Korea are collaborating with Solana on stablecoin payments.

- Meta: paying USDC wages to creators in Colombia and the Philippines on Solana.

- Western Union: stablecoins landing on Solana.

- Alpenglow upgrade: soon reducing finality from 12 seconds to 150 milliseconds.

Third thing: valuation is undervalued, but no one talks about it.

SOL’s current TVL is about $5.4 billion, 24-hour DEX trading volume is $1.32 billion, leading across the chain. Daily transaction count is 81.28 million, with 2.28 million active addresses.

On-chain real usage already surpasses all public chains except Ethereum.

But what about market cap? $47.9 billion, ranked 7th.

One side: 167M monthly active users, $5.4 billion TVL, giants lining up, upgrades coming.

Other side: price at 83, MACD bearish, market hedging risks, retail panic.

Key level: 82, the last bottom line for bulls and bears.

Short-term traders:

Around 83 or a retest of 82-80 to confirm support, lightly go long. Stop-loss strictly at 78. Target 90-92, breakouts look toward 95-105. Keep position under 10%, leverage no more than 3x.

Mid-term traders: buy on dips in batches. Alpenglow landing + macro improvement (BTC breaking 78K or Fed pivot) are catalysts. Target 100-120, stop-loss below 70.

Long-term traders:

Hold heavily or dollar-cost average. Spot + staking, avoid high leverage. Target 200-300+.

SOL now is like ETH in 2021—data exploding, adoption booming, but price pressed to the ground. Those who cut losses at $2000 ETH later regretted it bitterly. #Polymarket每日热点 $SOL
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