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Just watched Cloudflare (NET) get hammered recently and it's raising some interesting questions about where this thing goes next. Stock was up 83% for the year, then suddenly dropped 16% in a few days back in February. Classic pattern, but worth digging into whether this was just profit-taking or an actual warning sign for the business.
So what's Cloudflare actually doing? They're basically the invisible infrastructure protecting websites and apps. The company handles security and performance for about 20% of all websites globally. Pretty wild when you think about it. Their customers include the big names—Shopify, SoFi, DoorDash—and they just closed their largest deal ever in Q4, averaging $42.5 million in annual contract value. Revenue is climbing 30% year-over-year, which is solid growth for a company at this scale.
The stock pullback in late February didn't really seem to be about Cloudflare's fundamentals tanking. More like a combination of things—investors taking profits after the earnings bump, some broader anxiety about tariffs, and a general software stock sell-off driven by AI disruption fears. Since then it's bounced back to around $190. So was it just noise, or a warning sign we should be paying attention to?
Here's where it gets interesting. AI is reshaping everything, and Cloudflare is positioned right in the middle of it. CEO Matthew Prince mentioned that weekly AI agent requests on their network more than doubled in just January alone. Since 20% of websites run through Cloudflare's infrastructure, any AI agent that wants to operate at scale basically has to go through them. That's a pretty strong moat if you believe AI agents become as prevalent as everyone thinks.
But there's the valuation question. The stock trades at a forward P/E of around 154, which is... expensive. You're really betting on future execution here. And it's worth noting the company actually widened its net losses from $78.8 million in 2024 to $102.3 million in 2025. So they're investing heavily while still unprofitable, which is a warning sign worth tracking.
The way I see it, if you're bullish on the AI agent narrative and believe cybersecurity becomes increasingly critical as these systems expand, pullbacks like the one in February could be entry points. But this is a high-expectation stock, which means if they miss, it could get ugly fast. The valuation leaves no room for stumbles. Whether this recent dip was just market noise or the beginning of a longer correction probably depends on how well Cloudflare executes on that AI vision going forward.