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Just caught up on some analyst takes from early March and there's some interesting stuff here worth sharing. The bear quotes I'm seeing on Sea Ltd are pretty brutal right now - stock got hammered down to levels not seen since 2024, sitting 60% off September highs. Analysts have been cutting estimates across the board for months, and the latest earnings miss didn't help. EBITDA guidance basically flat for the year, which tells you everything about growth expectations cooling off.
On the flip side, Sezzle's been quietly crushing it. This Minneapolis BNPL company just posted their seventh straight earnings beat, crushing EPS expectations by 26%. Revenue hit $130M versus $128M consensus, but the real story is adjusted EBITDA jumping 79% year over year to $58.3M. They raised full year guidance to $4.70 EPS versus $4.33 expected, and analysts have been lifting estimates ever since - current quarter estimates jumped 7% in just a week. Monthly subscribers hit 918K, app sessions up 51% YoY. At 16x forward PE with 25-30% revenue growth projected, the valuation actually looks reasonable for what they're delivering.
Technically speaking, SEZL bounced from $50 lows to $86 after earnings but has pulled back. Support's sitting around $67-69, resistance at $90-92. If that support holds, there's real upside potential. Meanwhile Sea's been a slow bleed from $180 down to $80 since October - that's major damage. Recent support at $80, but if that breaks could see pressure toward $60.
The broader payments space is interesting too. American Express just locked in partnerships across major stadiums and teams - MetLife, Mercedes-Benz, Giants, Jets, Falcons. They're embedding their payment network into the live-event ecosystem, which is smart for capturing higher spending and customer loyalty. Mastercard and Visa are doing similar stuff with entertainment access and event sponsorships. AXP's processed volumes up 10% YoY in Q4, MA's purchase transactions up 9.1%, Visa's payments volume up 8%.
So the bear quotes on Sea make sense given the momentum shift and guidance cap, but Sezzle's looking like the real story right now with consistent beats and expanding margins.