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Been watching SNDK and the valuation setup here is pretty interesting. The stock's trading at 15.83x forward P/E, which is actually below the computer storage industry average of 17.03x and way below the broader tech sector at 24.58x. That's a solid discount for a company that's clearly accelerating.
What caught my attention is the datacenter side. Fiscal Q2 datacenter revenues jumped 76% year-over-year, and that's just the beginning of the AI infrastructure buildout. They're already qualifying PCIe Gen5 drives at major hyperscalers and have this QLC product called Stargate moving through qualification with two big players. That's a real near-term catalyst when revenue starts flowing.
The PC refresh cycle and edge computing are adding fuel too. Edge revenues climbed 63% YoY last quarter, consumer up 52%. As AI-capable hardware becomes standard, devices need more storage capacity per unit. SNDK's positioned well here with their flash-only portfolio and premium brand partnerships.
Looking at the numbers for fiscal Q3, management guided $4.4-4.8 billion in revenue with 65-67% gross margins. Earnings expected between $12-14 per share. The consensus is calling for $4 billion revenue (136% YoY growth) and $7.79 EPS, up from 30 cents a year ago. That's a massive earnings ramp.
The Kioxia joint venture locked in through 2034 is also significant. Gives them manufacturing and tech advantages over Micron, Western Digital and Seagate for the long haul.
Price action speaks too. Over six months SNDK returned 749.8% versus the industry's 92.4% and the broader sector's 4.7%. Even with that run, it's still trading below industry and sector averages. Micron's up 204.9%, WD up 180.1%, Seagate up 98.2% over the same period, all lagging.
The setup feels compelling. You've got discounted valuation, structural AI demand tailwinds, a clear product roadmap with Stargate coming, and it's still cheaper than peers on a forward basis. Worth keeping on the radar if you're looking for AI infrastructure exposure.