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Just came across something interesting on the options flow tracker from back in July 2023. Someone dumped a massive $1.16M in call contracts on Li Auto with a $20 strike expiring in just 3 days. That premium was sitting at the 99.9th percentile for unusual trades, so definitely caught attention at the time. The put/call ratio was pointing bullish at 0.79.
What made it worth noting was the fund positioning around Li. About 325 institutions were holding positions, though that was down from the quarter before. The average analyst price target was sitting at $41.28, suggesting roughly 15% upside from where it was trading. Aspex Management had been aggressively increasing their stake, up over 40%, while Renaissance Tech actually trimmed theirs by about 26%. Some of the big index funds like Vanguard were quietly building positions too.
The company itself was pushing hard in China's EV market with their extended-range vehicles. Revenue projections were solid - they were forecasting 76% growth. Interesting case study in how institutional money flows can signal conviction in a stock, especially when you see mixed signals like some funds loading up while others reduce exposure. The options activity that day definitely suggested someone thought there was a move coming.