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After the waterfall, the volatility remains! Bitcoin's recent market saw a deep retracement last night, with the highest point around 77,800, followed by a large bearish decline, reaching as low as around 74,800, resulting in a total movement of over 3,000 points. Ethereum also moved in sync, with nearly 130 points of fluctuation. Such a wide range of market movement is extremely significant; daily fluctuations of 3-5% are truly exaggerated. We must view the market rationally, manage our risk properly, and recognize that there is no clear trend direction in the short term. Look for resistance at the highs and support at the lows—that is the fundamental nature of such a large market. Today, let's focus on the bulls' counterattack. The morning market had limited volatility, and we arranged for real trading students to position short-term long orders. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum have made good progress in gains, and the swing trading students in real trading are still holding profits!
From the overall structure of Bitcoin's current chart, this round of deep retracement is more inclined toward a trap to shake out traders, with the following analysis from three dimensions: trend pattern, key technical signals, and short-term market rhythm. The short-term bearish momentum shows a clear pulse-like, fleeting characteristic. Previously, the bearish phase lasted only 2-3 days of concentrated release, without forming an effective downward trend continuation. During the midnight session, the decline was quickly recovered, with a rapid rebound to regain lost ground, directly negating the validity of this short-term retracement. It also confirms that the low-level shorting funds lack sustained momentum support, fitting the typical structure of a trap to shake out traders followed by a recovery rebound. The daily chart has already shown clear signals of short-term support stabilization. During the price decline, the daily candles closed with bullish signals, precisely testing the key moving average midline support; this level is not only an important technical support in the current chart but also the core starting point of the previous bullish rally. Under the resonance of these two key supports, the price failed to break down effectively, further confirming that the short-term downward correction channel has been temporarily closed. The subsequent market is likely to maintain a range-bound oscillation with an upward bias, waiting for an effective breakout of the range before further confirming the new trend direction.
Thursday afternoon Bitcoin: Long around 75,500, target 77,500
Thursday afternoon Ethereum: Long around 2,240, target 2,350
For more consultation, follow the official account: Jingquan Talks Trends
$BTC #比特币现货交易量新低