Bitcoin 4-Hour and Daily Chart Analysis

1. 4-Hour Level (Short-Term Trend)

• Candlestick and Trend: Previously pulled back from a high point (~79,125.7), dipped to a low of 74,868.4 before rebounding, currently testing the ~76,100 resistance level. TD sequence shows the decline segment (red boxes 1-5) completed, and the rebound segment (green boxes 1-5) is unfolding, indicating a short-term correction rebound after a decline.

• Moving Averages and Volume: Short-term moving averages (MA5/MA10) diverged downward, and the price attempted to break above the moving averages, but medium- and long-term moving averages remain downward; volume (6.08K) is far below average volume (MAVOL5=14.01K, MAVOL10=9.79K), indicating insufficient rebound momentum and questionable sustainability.

• Indicator Signals:

◦ MACD: DIF (-393.6) < DEA (-306.3), green histogram continues, dominated by bears but with decreasing volume, possibly indicating a golden cross ahead;

◦ KDJ: K (36.4), D (37.3), J (34.5) are close together at low levels, approaching oversold, suggesting a rebound correction is needed;

◦ CCI: -65.6 (weak zone, not oversold), rebound momentum is limited.

2. Daily Level (Mid-Term Trend)

• Candlestick and Trend: Previously rose from a low (~70,473.6) to a high (~79,455), then retraced, currently testing support at ~76,000. TD sequence shows the retracement segment (red boxes 1-4) is ongoing, mid-term bullish trend is temporarily paused, entering a correction cycle.

• Moving Averages and Volume: Medium- and long-term moving averages (MA5/MA10) are upward, but short-term moving averages are turning downward, with price pulling back to support levels; volume (15.66K) is far below average volume (MAVOL5=47.09K, MAVOL10=111.24K), indicating shrinking correction volume, possibly a shakeout.

• Indicator Signals:

◦ MACD: DIF (1498) < DEA (1749.9), green histogram persists, mid-term bullishness shifting to correction;

◦ KDJ: K (41.4), D (55.5), J (13.1) diverging downward, with J oversold, possibly indicating a rebound;

◦ CCI: 12.3 (approaching overbought and pulling back, currently neutral).

3. Overall Judgment

• Short-term (4-hour): Rebound volume is insufficient, caution is needed for a potential pullback after a rebound. Support at 74,868, resistance at 77,000-78,000.

• Mid-term (Daily): The bullish trend is not fully broken but is in a correction cycle. Support at 75,000-76,000. If support holds or the upward trend resumes, it could go higher; otherwise, watch for testing 72,000.

• Trading Suggestions: Light positions for short-term rebound trading, with stop-loss below 74,800; hold and observe for signs of daily stabilization (such as MACD golden cross, volume expansion).

(Note: Cryptocurrency is highly volatile; analysis should consider news, capital flow, and other factors. The above is purely technical analysis.)#比特币现货交易量新低 $BTC