#比特币现货交易量新低 Bitcoin spot trading volume drops below $8 billion! Glassnode warns liquidity exhaustion will make prices extremely sensitive

Although there is increasing optimism in the market about Bitcoin (BTC) breaking through $77,500 and continuing to rally, actual participation in the spot market is rapidly cooling down. This apparent calm is unlikely to end smoothly.
According to the latest data from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode, the daily turnover of Bitcoin has recently fallen sharply to less than $8 billion. This is the lowest level since October 2023. It’s worth noting that during the market frenzy in early February this year, this figure once exceeded $25 billion.
Market depth shrinks, and the trading volume can be easily affected by a few large orders, directly impacting the underlying liquidity health of the market.
Glassnode warns in the report: "This environment of low trading volume is usually accompanied by a decline in market depth and extreme sensitivity to changes in capital flows."
Market depth is typically measured by observing the buy and sell orders within 2% of the current price, serving as a key indicator of the market’s ability to absorb large orders without causing severe slippage. When market depth shrinks, it means market makers and order books are sparse, and a few large orders can significantly push prices up or down. In other words, the continuously declining trading volume is laying the groundwork for upcoming sharp volatility.
Overly optimistic options market?
Traders’ defenses are slackening, but in the face of potential liquidity risks, derivatives traders seem to have everything under control. The Volmex BVIV index, which measures 30-day implied volatility expectations for Bitcoin, has now fallen to a three-month low, with annualized volatility below 42%. This clearly indicates that options market participants are betting on a stable trend, completely ignoring the possibility of a liquidity crunch triggering a storm.
Marex analysts precisely commented on the current situation in their morning report: "Bitcoin is currently hovering around $77,000, which is a market reluctant to make statements before the Fed meeting. The surface appears calm, but in reality, it’s tense. The stance is cautious, liquidity is thinning, and the next market driver is more likely to come from the 'overall economy' rather than native crypto events."
The analysts further emphasized that the UAE announced its withdrawal from OPEC and OPEC+ on Tuesday, making energy politics the biggest macroeconomic variable. If energy supply becomes unpredictable, risk assets will be highly sensitive to headlines. In this game of chips and macroeconomics, investors should strictly control leverage risk and not take it lightly.