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When BTC surged higher, it was clear that the volume couldn't keep up and there was heavy resistance above. I decisively identified a short entry point at a critical level, and the market subsequently retreated as expected. This wave of movement can be said to be precisely timed. While many people are still hesitating and watching, I have already proactively positioned myself and securely captured this segment of profit. This ability to judge and execute the trend is where the real difference lies.
Recently, the news indicates that Bitcoin is in a crucial stage of "macro + capital game." The market is generally waiting for the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and Jerome Powell's speech guidance. Whether interest rates stay high will directly determine the flow of funds into risk assets. Currently, the expectation is leaning towards "holding steady." In this environment, BTC will remain volatile in the short term, but once a dovish signal is released, it will provide clear bullish support for the crypto market.
From the short-term 4-hour chart, BTC's current price is between the middle and lower bands of the Bollinger Bands, with the bands opening downward, indicating obvious resistance. The MACD indicator's DIF is below DEA, and the histogram continues to release, dominated by bearish momentum;
Trading suggestion
Short position: Short between 77,800-77,300, stop loss 500 points, target 75,000-74,500$BTC