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$BTC ๐ April 30 BTC Latest Strategy Analysis
BTC:
After rebounding from around 74,868, the price has now fallen back below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands on the 15-minute chart, with short-term bearish momentum dominating. The Bollinger Bands are contracting, and the price remains under pressure from the middle band, which continues to decline. The middle band at 75,944.0 and the upper band at 76,406.6 form step-like resistance and support; MACD indicators show DIF = -6.8, DEA = 34.3, MACD = -82.1, with green bars steadily increasing, indicating ongoing bearish momentum. Volume has mildly increased during the pullback, with selling pressure leading the short-term market.
๐ Bearish Logic:
The strong resistance zone is between 75,900 and 76,000, where the price faces double suppression from the Bollinger Band middle line and previous rebound highs. Rebounds in this area are unlikely to reverse the overall weak downward trend. If the price cannot effectively stay above 76,000, the likelihood is for continued decline, with the first target at 75,500. If broken, the price could test the 75,000-74,800 range, and in extreme cases, test the previous low support at 74,600.
โ ๏ธ Risk Reminder:
If the price re-breaks above the upper Bollinger Band at 76,406, and MACD shows bullish divergence with volume continuing to increase, the bearish trend could quickly reverse. Be alert for a rebound to the 76,800-77,000 range, and strictly set stop-losses to avoid trend reversal risks.
๐ฏ Main Strategy: Slightly Bearish
โข Short Entry Range: 75,800-76,000
โข First Target: 75,300
โข Second Target: 74,900
โข Stop-Loss Level: 76,200