Honestly, I no longer believe in coincidences when I see those "coincidental transfers"… In the past, I would just screenshot and shout conspiracy theory, then shake my hand and chase the high. Now I’ve learned to be smarter: first, break down the path—where did it come from in the hot wallet, did it go through a relay address first, is it the same batch of gas habits, and finally, which perpetual/bridge entry point it lands at. Many times it looks like “mysterious addresses transferring money to each other,” but it’s actually just a route of fund movement, which my FOMO warrior brain has misinterpreted as a script.

Of course, I’m not sure I can always decode it correctly, especially recently with MEV and fairness of transaction ordering being heavily criticized. When the income structure of miners/validators changes, on-chain actions become even more like “being pushed along”… Anyway, my current strategy is: if I can explain it clearly, I get in; if I can’t, I hold less position. I may be stubborn with my words, but I still need to keep my hands steady.