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#比特币现货交易量新低
Aggressive Shorts
Shorting Range: 76,400 – 76,800
Stop Loss: 77,300
Take Profit: 75,600 / 75k
Logic:
Currently in the rebound phase after a decline, the price has returned to near the short-term moving average and the middle band of the Bollinger Bands,
This is usually the first wave of selling pressure. Rebound fails → Continue downward trend
Conservative Shorts
Shorting Range: 77,400 – 77,900
Stop Loss: 78,700
Take Profit: 76,200 / 75,400
Logic:
If the aggressive short positions are wiped out, it indicates the market is making a deeper rebound (liquidating longs). This range is close to: the previous rebound high, MA30 + Bollinger middle upper band resistance, belonging to a cleaner distribution zone (main short position)
Long-term Shorts (Extreme Rebound Level)
Shorting Range: 78,800 – 79,500
Stop Loss: 80,600
Target: 76,000 / 74,000
Logic:
This is near the previous high of 79,477, where structural resistance exists. If the price reaches here, it indicates the market is doing a “false breakout rebound,” which is the most cost-effective area for shorts.
Current Structure Judgment (Core)
Currently on the 1-hour chart, highs are continuously declining (bearish structure), moving averages are arranged in a bearish order, rebound strength is weak, the trend is bearish, and rebounds are just for positioning.
Core Execution
Aggressive Orders: Try first (allow being wiped out)
Conservative Orders: Main position (most important)
Long-term Orders: Raise average price (prevent extreme)
Try → Wiped out → Re-enter → Re-enter again
The most important point today: do not chase shorts near 75k, because it’s close to short-term support, making it easy to be swept out by rebounds. Shorts should wait for “rebounds to give a position.”
The above is just personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Investment involves risks; profit and loss are your own responsibility.