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Today I saw someone in the group say that a certain "coincidental transfer" must be insider trading, and I almost uninstalled my wallet… Watching these every day is like watching a soap opera, my mind is filled with conspiracy theories. After calming down, I still stick to the old method: first map out the path. Who transfers to whom first, where the funds come in from, whether the same addresses are looping through different protocols, and finally which exit point they land on. Many so-called coincidences are, to put it plainly, automated scripts + route collisions, or the same market maker/aggregator secretly "pooling orders" in the background, making it look like collusion on the chain.
By the way, recently the NFT royalty fee debate is the same, everyone arguing about creator income and secondary liquidity, but many transaction paths actually bypass the market rules you think exist… The proposals' budgets are flashy and useless, first clarify the path, or I, as the gatekeeper, will really start to criticize.