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BTC 15-minute short-term rally of 0.35%: ETF net inflow combined with FOMC easing expectations driving bullish market
On April 29, 2026, from 18:45 to 19:00 (UTC), BTC price had a 15-minute return of +0.35%, with a price range of 75,217.9 to 75,508.6 USDT, and an amplitude of 0.39%. Short-term volatility intensified, market attention clearly increased, and trading volume rose about 12% compared to the previous 15 minutes, indicating genuine capital-driven movement rather than low-liquidity quote fluctuations.
The main driver of this anomaly was continuous net inflows into ETF funds combined with market easing expectations ahead of the FOMC meeting. Over the past 7 days, BTC spot ETF net inflows reached +933 million USD, with institutional funds continuously entering to strengthen spot buying support; meanwhile, April 29 coincided with the Federal Reserve’s FOMC rate decision, with market expectations that interest rates would remain unchanged at 3.50-3.75%, and some funds pre-positioned themselves betting on a dovish tone from Powell’s press conference, pushing short-term buying-led market movement.
Additionally, during the “Bitcoin 2026 Conference” industry event, institutional leaders’ statements reinforced expectations of increased holdings, turning market sentiment positive. On-chain data shows large wallet addresses (whales) have been steadily increasing holdings since early April, with no signs of large-scale selling during the event window, and no indication of main capital exiting. Perpetual contract long positions increased, the BTC long-short ratio slightly rose, and derivatives market short-term speculation tilted toward the bulls.
Attention should be paid to the FOMC meeting results. If the Federal Reserve adopts a hawkish stance, BTC may experience a short-term correction. Currently, exchange net inflows and long positions are rising in tandem, indicating a risk of short-term profit-taking. It is recommended to closely monitor capital flows and long-short ratio changes to prevent amplified volatility.