A major event late at night on April 30th! Powell's speech, the entire global investment industry was caught off guard!

On the early morning of April 30th, the Federal Reserve announced its interest rate decision, followed by Powell holding a significant press conference. This was one of his most critical speeches during his tenure, and the global capital markets were closely watching.

Currently, market data has fully revealed the situation: this round of interest rates will definitely remain unchanged, with the benchmark rate staying between 3.5% and 3.75%.

The latest data shows that the probability of a rate cut in June is only 2.6%, and the market generally expects that the first rate cut this year will be delayed until September or even later.

The biggest issue now is the rebound of inflation. The instability in the Middle East, rising oil prices, and the resurgence of U.S. inflation mean the Federal Reserve dares not easily cut interest rates.

The core focus of this speech is whether Powell’s stance is hawkish or dovish.

If he clearly indicates that inflation risks are high and continues to delay rate cuts, the dollar will strengthen, and the U.S. stock market bubble will be huge, leading to a sharp decline and adjustment.

Once the U.S. stock market falls back, global stock markets will also be dragged down, with A-shares and northbound funds flowing out, increasing overall market pressure.

If his tone is moderate and signals a potential rate cut, then global stock markets will temporarily rebound.

In simple terms, whether to raise or not has no suspense anymore.

The real factors that will determine the stock market, funds, gold, and currency trends in the second half of the year all depend on Powell’s statement on April 30th.