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Been watching Evergy (EVRG) pretty closely lately and there's actually an interesting story here that most people probably missed. This Midwestern utility stock had a wild run last year thanks to all the data center construction boom in Kansas and Missouri. Everyone was hyped about it.
So the company was supposed to report Q4 results back in February, and Wall Street was expecting something pretty solid. Consensus was looking for $1.43 billion in revenue, up 58% year-over-year, with earnings hitting $0.55 per share. The CEO had basically telegraphed that they'd share an optimistic growth outlook in the earnings call. Classic setup for a potential beat.
Here's where it gets interesting though. If you actually look at Evergy's track record, they've missed expectations in three of the last four quarters. So even though management was talking a good game, the execution history was spotty. The stock had already run up pretty hard by the time earnings were coming, so the price target from analysts was basically saying there wasn't much upside left even if they crushed it.
Fast forward to now, and this is the kind of stock that's really a long-term hold situation. Whether you bought it before or after the earnings call didn't really matter much in the bigger picture. It's a dividend stock, so the play is about holding it for years, not trying to time quarterly moves.
The real lesson here is that even with a boom in data centers driving demand and management sounding optimistic, you've got to look at the actual execution. Evergy showed solid fundamentals, but the stock had already priced in a lot of that good news. Sometimes the boring utility plays are just that boring, even when they're doing well.