#BTC Beijing time early tomorrow morning (around 2 a.m. on April 30th, corresponding to 2 p.m. on April 29th Eastern Time), the Federal Reserve FOMC meeting will announce the interest rate decision and economic projections. This is the third monetary policy meeting in 2026, and the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to keep the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.5%-3.75%—marking the third consecutive pause. The reasons are recent stubborn inflation data, geopolitical risks (Iran situation, potential Strait of Hormuz blockade pushing oil prices above $110 per barrel), and a soft labor market, putting Fed Chair Powell under pressure for a “higher for longer” stance.

The dot plot and Powell’s press conference will be the focus of attention. If dovish signals are released (implying an increased probability of rate cuts later this year), risk assets may rebound, and altcoins could take the opportunity to catch up; if hawkish statements are made (emphasizing inflation risks), it could trigger short-term profit-taking, with Bitcoin possibly retesting the $75k level, and altcoins under greater pressure. But regardless of the outcome, market uncertainty will significantly decrease after the meeting, and funds are likely to shift from waiting to deployment, truly testing whether the altseason has truly begun.

Currently, Bitcoin remains in a high-level oscillation, with ETF fund inflows fluctuating but overall positive, and institutional holdings showing no signs of large-scale reduction. In the divergence pattern of altcoins, the fundamentals of quality projects (such as AI implementation, DeFi TVL growth, active Solana ecosystem) remain the core support.

Tomorrow’s Fed decision is likely to be the “watershed” for the second quarter of 2026:
Positive developments could directly ignite altcoin rotation, while negative ones may prolong Bitcoin’s dominance period.
Investors need to stay cautious, control positions, focus on AI, DeFi, and high-beta infrastructure tokens, and closely monitor macro data and geopolitical developments.
The crypto space has never lacked opportunities, but only by deploying the right assets at the right time can one come out on top. Regardless of the decision, 2026 will still be a key window for the crypto market’s transition from bear to bull—perhaps the spring of altcoins will quietly arrive after the Fed “nods.”