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๐จ Alert! Tonight is destined to be sleepless, BTC ETH, buckle up!
๐ April 30th "Crazy Thursday" event schedule (Beijing time)
๐ 2:00 AM: Federal Reserve interest rate decision
๐ 2:30 AM: Powell's "Final Dance" press conference (possibly his farewell before stepping down)
๐ After 4:00 AM: Earnings reports from the Big Four AI giants (Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, Google)
๐ฃ Why is tonight extremely risky?
1. The risk of Powellโs "legacy"
This is Powellโs last press conference of his 8-year term. The market fears that he will emphasize inflation risks (hawkish stance) to avoid leaving a mess for his successor, suppressing market expectations of rate cuts. If his tone turns hawkish, US stocks and crypto sentiment will be directly affected.
2. The "Demon Mirror" moment for AI
Recently, OpenAI was reported to have revenue below expectations, indicating that despite burning a lot of money, AIโs monetization ability is being questioned. If tonight the four giants (especially Microsoft and Googleโs cloud services) fail to deliver results beyond expectations, the market will immediately shift from "believing in AI" to "selling overvalued assets."
3. The crypto marketโs linkage effect
Currently, the crypto market and Nasdaq are "on the same rope." If US tech stocks plunge due to earnings or rate issues, the crypto market will find it hard to stay unaffected and will likely follow suit.
๐ก Your defensive strategies
โข Reduce positions: Before 2:00 AM, lower leverage to a safe level or close some high-risk longs.
โข Wait and see: Donโt bet on the direction tonight; wait until tomorrow when the dust settles before acting.
โข Monitor the market: Focus on the after-hours trend of Nasdaq futures, as itโs a leading indicator for the crypto market.
๐ One sentence summary: Tonight is not the night to chase gains, but to protect your principal. Donโt be misled by the headline "Crazy Thursday," safety first. $BTC $GT $ETH