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Caixin: SpaceX’s IPO first-day free-float market value may be between $440 billion and $530 billion
Deep Tide TechFlow news: on April 29, Caixin published an article titled “SpaceX’s $1.75 Trillion IPO Is Imminent—Who Can Buy? Is It Worth It?”, noting that: Wall Street has never encountered a listed company with an IPO of such enormous size while also having such a complex relationship with the U.S. government. Nasdaq has previously introduced the “(Fast Entry)” new rule: newly listed companies can be quickly added to the Nasdaq 100 within 15 trading days after listing if their market capitalization enters the top 40 of the Nasdaq 100. This rule will take effect officially on May 1, 2026, and is also widely believed to have been designed for the upcoming SpaceX listing, while also paving the way for OpenAl and Anthropic, which may go public sometime in 2026 or in 2027.
Assuming SpaceX goes public at a valuation of $1.75 trillion and a free-float ratio of 25% to 30%, the free-float market capitalization on the first day of its IPO would be approximately between $440 billion and $530 billion. Based on the weighting of the Nasdaq 100, SpaceX would directly enter the top ten stocks by weight. Market reports say that the S&P 500 is also evaluating a “fast entry” plan of some form, but the details have not been disclosed yet.