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Lately, watching the mempool feels a bit like watching the sky: you think it's just a light rain, but a gust of wind can blow out your address, habits, and even whether you're "the same group of people." Frankly, my current expectations for on-chain privacy are quite simple: don't expect complete anonymity, at most "don't be too easily exposed at a glance." The compliance line is the same; ordinary users can do little more than leave fewer unnecessary traces, not consider themselves the main character of a story, because if you're really targeted, that little "privacy" on-chain can't really stop it.
By the way, I looked at the NFT royalty water war, I understand that creators want sustainable income, but once the secondary market twists rules for liquidity, it ultimately just turns into a more complex game of "who can track whom, who can get a cut"... Ordinary people caught in the middle shouldn't expect a perfect solution.
For me, "long-term" usually means quarterly, at least starting from three months, because weekly and monthly are too easily swayed by one or two on-chain trends. That's all for now.