#Polymarket每日热点

I believe that by the end of April, the price of Bitcoin will reach $75000.

👉My reasoning is:

1. Currently, Bitcoin is in a bear market, and 79000 is a major resistance level. After it touches the resistance level, it will drop back for a pullback, so reaching 80000 is relatively difficult.

2. Today is April 29, and there is 1 day left until the end of the month. What I need to do is make a short-term choice. From a technical-indicator perspective, we’re currently seeing an oversold rebound on the 4-hour chart, with a target around 78500. After that, it may continue to fall.

3. Early tomorrow morning, the Federal Reserve will hold an interest-rate decision meeting. With expectations that interest rates will remain unchanged, the Fed Chair’s remarks carry a lot of weight. Given the inflation data rising as a result of the US-Iran war, the comments are likely to be “hawkish,” which would weigh on risk assets.

4. US-Iran negotiations have stalled. After Iran submitted the latest negotiation proposal to the United States, Trump expressed dissatisfaction, and there may be negative remarks soon.

5. The US has recently imposed sanctions on two Chinese companies, and there are signs that the trade war and the tariff war are heating up again.

👉My bet strategy is: when Bitcoin rebounds back to around 78500 and the probability of the 75000 price level dropping increases, I will “buy the dip” as a bet. The timing will be before tonight’s Federal Reserve interest-rate decision meeting.