Tonight’s Key Events

Time: 2:30 AM on April 30, Beijing Time

Event: Federal Reserve FOMC Interest Rate Decision & Powell News Conference

Background: This is the last FOMC press conference during Powell’s term, so its tone and messaging are highly significant.

Key Takeaways

• Interest rate kept unchanged at 3.5%-3.75% (market consensus)

• Whether Powell’s outlook on the future path of rate cuts, inflation, and liquidity is more hawkish (negative) or more dovish (positive).

Crypto Market Status

• BTC range: 76,000-78,000 trading sideways

• Market sentiment: high-level consolidation; leverage is high; emotions are sensitive; price action relies on rate cut expectation support.

Core Strategy

1. First, prevent a sudden crash: reduce leverage/trim positions before the speech. If Powell’s tone is hawkish, be alert to the risk of an instant drop.

2. Then, catch the inflection point: if the market sells off sharply on hawkish signals, you can watch the 72,000-74,000 support zone and see whether a rebound opportunity can form after bearish pressure is exhausted.
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