🧐 $BTC Suspected “Arc Top” Formation in Progress

At present, the market shows the characteristics of a “top pattern beginning to take shape, but there is still some lingering bullish momentum.” Although the structure leans toward an arc top / multiple top formation, and there is no sign that the main players are pulling away from the position amid a large increase in volume, the CCI indicator is still maintained above +100 in the bullish zone. This suggests that market resilience remains, and it has not entered a one-sided downtrend.

📍 Key Range and Time Window

• Ranging box: 75000 – 79000 (the lower bound is the bulls’ defense line, the upper bound is the overhead selling pressure zone)

• Pattern expectation: leaning toward an arc top; if the upper bound is repeatedly tested and fails to break through, it may develop into a multiple top.

• Time cycle: the top formation is expected to take about another 1 week; it is currently in a “back-and-forth tug-of-war” phase, with no clear reversal signal appearing.

⚔️ Trading Strategy (Range-Bound Thinking)

• High-located area: around 78500 – 79000

◦ Logic: at the upper edge of the range, close to the prior high resistance pressure—betting on a pullback from the top.

◦ Stop loss: stay above 79500.

◦ Target: 77000 → 76000.

• Low long area: around 75200 – 75800

◦ Logic: at the lower edge of the range; with CCI > 100 showing that the bulls have not fully exited—betting on a rebound.

◦ Stop loss: fall below 74500.

◦ Target: 77500 → 78500.
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