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ALARM BELLS OF A NEW FINANCIAL CRISIS!!
Early warning signs:
🔹Private Credit Market Risk:
Liquidity issues and untested debt structures in the private credit market, which has reached $2.5 trillion, pose systemic risks.
🔹Energy and Geopolitical Tensions:
Rising oil prices above $100 due to tensions centered around Iran and the Strait of Hormuz threaten global supply security. They are causing inflation to rise.
🔹Artificial Intelligence Bubble:
A massive $2 trillion investment in the tech sector has created a market bubble, and overvaluation risks correction.
🔹Limited Intervention Capacity:
Due to high public debt, central banks have limited room to maneuver; tools used in 2008 no longer have the same effect today.
🔹Weak International Cooperation:
Increasing political tensions make it difficult for countries to act together during a potential crisis, which could deepen the crisis.
🔹Non-Banking Risks:
Although banks are more capitalized, vulnerabilities in other complex layers of the financial system could push the economy into recession.
🔹Social Impact:
The heaviest burden of a potential crisis will fall on low-income groups, and social inequality will increase.