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Shocking two major bearish surprises are lying in wait! Tonight, Powell’s speech may directly trigger a downward blast in the crypto market. Firmly believing means shorting.
The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision was already fully priced in by the market long ago, with absolutely no upside that comes as a surprise. This current calm is nothing more than a brief rebound before the bearish impact lands.
What truly determines the direction of the market trend has never been the decision itself, but rather Powell’s heavyweight statement tonight. Two core points directly lock in the bearish positioning for the future:
First, inflation stickiness remains high. The rate-hike option will very likely stay in the policy talking points; the hawkish posture will only get stronger. Market expectations for “keeping high interest rates for longer” will be reinforced, and the valuations of risk assets will be continuously pressured;
Second, after Powell steps down, the policy landscape will see variables. The successor will most likely continue a relatively hawkish route. The loosening cycle is nowhere in sight, and the crypto market directly loses its macro-level long positioning support.
Now look at the current screen: macro bearish news is pressing down layer by layer from above, while below there’s only existing positioning weakly propping things up. Throughout the entire period, there is no incremental capital entering to take the baton. The current narrow-range consolidation is not a buildup for an offensive comeback; it’s a “boiling frog” scenario where long-side sentiment is slowly and gradually being worn down. #WCTC交易王PK #加密市场小幅下跌 #Polymarket每日热点 #Strategy吸筹速度超挖矿两倍 #GateCard一拍即付