SOL Short-term Analysis: The 88 Level Was Gained and Lost Again, Direction Pending

Market Qualitative: Rallied sharply then pulled back,陷入“拉扯”

This wave of rally near $88 failed to stabilize, directly turning back down, currently stuck in a range of $82–$85 with repeated oscillations. This is a typical “unclear direction” stage, with both bulls and bears testing each other, neither a unilateral rise nor a clear reversal to a bear market.

Key Attack and Defense Levels

• Upper Resistance (Bearish Defense Line):

◦ First Level: $85.5 (Short-term strength/weakness boundary)

◦ Critical Line: $88 (Must see increased volume and stabilization here to confirm a trend reversal to strength, otherwise it’s a trap)

• Lower Support (Bullish Bottom Line):

◦ Defense Zone: $82.5–$83 (Holding here offers a chance to push again towards $88)

◦ Breakdown Risk: Once below $82.5, the downside space opens up, likely dropping to $80 or even $75.

Trading Strategy and Risk Control

• Range Trading: Buy low and sell high within the $82.5–$85.5 range, avoid chasing rallies or panic selling.

• Breakout Follow-up:

◦ If it stabilizes above $85.5 with volume, consider a small long position targeting $88.

◦ If it breaks below $82.5 without a rebound, beware of a deep correction.

• Core Risk Control: Strict stop-loss. The current position is prone to “false breakouts,” as a unilateral trend often only appears after breaking the range.