With Wednesday approaching, the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision is about to be released, and market action will most likely see another round of back-and-forth sweeping.

The result will come out at 2:00 a.m. on Thursday. Now, most of the market basically thinks the rate won’t move, and it’s still expected to stay in the 3.5%-3.7% range. Compared with the rate itself, what everyone cares about more is leadership/personnel changes. Half an hour after the data is released, Powell will also speak—this could be his last press conference as chairman. Volatility at that time may be relatively high.
I’ll say this about the market: I shorted last night and made a little profit. My personal view today is: it may first move up a bit, and then move lower, so overall it’s still mainly a short setup.
ETH is a bit weaker, with not much volatility. After hitting 2256 last night, it didn’t keep falling, and today it’s back above 2300.
Bitcoin’s lowest last night was 76000, and today’s sharp rally around midday is to liquidate the three major whale short positions, with a total liquidation size of $2.6 million. It still looks like there may be a bit of rebound. On the upside, the key area to watch is 77350-78000—consider going short once it gets to this vicinity. Don’t enter too early; wait until it reaches the level.
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