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I don't bet on the highest, nor do I bet on the lowest: the real profit comes from "people who are not overly confident"
The two types of people the market most likes to punish:
๐ Overly pessimistic
๐ Overly confident
70,000 is a typical pessimistic option,
85,000 is a typical confident option.
And the real opportunity often lies in the middle.
The current state of Bitcoin is very typical:
๐ The trend is still there
๐ Sentiment is heating up
๐ Divergence is increasing
Under this structure, the most likely market movement is:
๐ Fluctuating upward, rather than a straight surge
So my choice is:
๐ D. $82,000
Leave room for the trend while respecting volatility.
My trading principle is very simple:
๐ Do not predict extremes
๐ Only manage positions
๐ Let the market tell me the answer
One sentence summary:
It's not about who predicts the most accurately, but who survives the longest. #Polymarketๆฏๆฅ็ญ็น