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Event:
- Super Central Bank Day: The U.S. Federal Reserve will hold its meeting tonight. Expectations are that interest rates will be kept unchanged; hawkish remarks may suppress any rebound.
- DeFi Massive Loss: The Kelp protocol was stolen from to the tune of $293 million, rsETH lost its peg, and the Aave ecosystem faces pressure.
- Institutional Updates: Coinbase’s premium turned negative, and funds flowed out; a giant whale increased its holdings by 21,000 BTC against the trend.
- Regulation: Japan has strengthened AML reviews for crypto; the U.S. CLARITY Act is racing to a push in May.
Analysis: A break of key support/resistance levels at high levels + macro caution + shocks from security incidents, resulting in weak choppy trading in the short term.