$BTC Bitcoin Morning Thoughts


✅ Short Position Ideas
Entry reference: Rebound to the 76,800-77,100 range, enter in small batches to try shorting, this is the 1-hour Bollinger upper band + previous rebound high double resistance.
Stop-loss reference: Keep above 77,400, which is a breakout of the 4-hour Bollinger middle band, indicating a trend reversal and then stop-loss.
✅ Target levels:
First target: 76,400-76,200 (1-hour Bollinger middle band support, reduce position to protect capital)
Second target: After breaking below 76,000, look towards 75,600-75,500 (previous low support)
✅ Long Position Ideas
• Entry reference: Rebound to the 76,300-76,100 range without breaking, enter in small batches to try short-term longs, supported by the 1-hour Bollinger middle band + 15-minute Bollinger middle band resonance.
• Stop-loss reference: Keep below 75,900, a break indicates the short-term rebound has ended.
• Target levels: Focus only on the 76,800-77,000 range, exit once reached, don’t be greedy, as the overall trend is still bearish.
4-hour
Bollinger bands are opening downward, price is still below the middle band, MACD has not yet completed a death cross, the bearish structure is not finished, overall still biased bearish.
But the price has rebounded from a low of 75,635 to around 76,800, which is an oversold correction after a decline, not a reversal.
1-hour cycle
Bollinger bands are flattening, price has broken through the middle band at 76,345, MACD has just formed a golden cross, short-term bulls have momentum to continue.
However, it has directly hit the upper band resistance at 76,816, which is also the lower boundary of our previous short entry zone, with selling pressure.
15-minute cycle:
Bollinger bands are opening upward, price is moving along the upper band, RSI has already surged to 76, short-term is in overbought territory, and a pullback may occur at any time.
Support is around 76,400 (Bollinger middle band), strong support at 75,050.
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