"April 29 Market Analysis: The Market is Starting to Catch Its Breath, But the Real Turning Point Hasn't Arrived Yet"



I'll state the conclusion directly:
๐Ÿ‘‰ The market is only experiencing a short-term stabilization, not a true reversal yet
๐Ÿง  What happened yesterday?
BTC rebounded from the support level of 75,700 provided by the chief yesterday

The key points are here:
1๏ธโƒฃ Four-hour consecutive bearish candles failed, the decline did not continue
2๏ธโƒฃ Did not break through a critical structure, and in the Ichimoku Cloud, it returned to the bullish cloud
3๏ธโƒฃ A four-hour bottom formation appeared

๐Ÿ‘‰ Indicates the market has temporarily stabilized
โš ๏ธ But hereโ€™s the key point: ๐Ÿ‘‰ Stabilization โ‰  Bullish Reversal
Many will start blindly going long here
But what truly determines the direction is the resistance above

๐Ÿ“ $BTC Critical levels
๐ŸŸข Support below: also the four-hour Vegas channel position.
74,900
74,200
๐Ÿ‘‰ Consider going long if retesting these levels

๐Ÿ”ด Resistance above:
77,700 (key level)
๐Ÿ‘‰ Only if it stabilizes here
Can we continue to watch 78,500 โ€“ 78,800

๐Ÿ‘‰ Core strategy:
Donโ€™t take directional trades unless at key levels

๐Ÿ“Š $ETH & $SOL
๐Ÿ”น ETH:
Resistance: 2317 โ†’ 2338 โ€“ 2350
Support: 2210 โ€“ 2225
๐Ÿ‘‰ First observe if resistance holds, if the hourly close breaks above 2317, continue upward.

๐Ÿ”น SOL:
Resistance: 85 โ†’ 87 โ€“ 87.4
Support: 81.4 โ€“ 81.9
๐Ÿ‘‰ The structure remains weak, with 85 acting as both support and resistance; if the hourly close breaks above 85, continue upward.

๐Ÿง  The essence of the current market
๐Ÿ‘‰ Is not a one-sided rally
๐Ÿ‘‰ Nor is it a one-sided decline
๐Ÿ‘‰ But:
Consolidation + Waiting for direction

โš ๏ธ The most critical judgment
๐Ÿ‘‰ The true time for a trend reversal:
Is more likely in early May (after May 3rd)
๐Ÿ‘‰ The most easy way to lose money now:
โŒ Prematurely betting on the direction
โŒ Frequent entries
๐Ÿง  Do not trade unless at key levels
๐Ÿ‘‰ Do you think the next step will:

Continue to consolidate ๐Ÿ“Š
Or break through directly ๐Ÿ“ˆ

Share your thoughts in the comments. ####
BTC0.49%
ETH1.84%
SOL0.72%
View Original
post-image
post-image
post-image
post-image
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 11
  • 7
  • Share
Comment
Add a comment
Add a comment
Paper-CutOctopusMarketAnalysis
ยท 50m ago
Let's wait until early May. Entering the market now is just giving away transaction fees to the market.
View OriginalReply0
ShuRoadMountainDry
ยท 2h ago
666666666666666666666
Reply0
MildlyRugged
ยท 2h ago
74200 if broken, then this wave of stopping the decline will be invalidated, and a re-evaluation is needed.
View OriginalReply0
PuppyLooksAtTvl
ยท 2h ago
This market situation is too classic, a rebound to trap some long positions, then another drop to chase the highs.
View OriginalReply0
LimeMulti-Signature
ยท 2h ago
The One Look Balanced Yang Cloud signal is indeed stable, but I bet the reversal will happen after May 6th.
View OriginalReply0
YieldFarmLibrarian
ยท 2h ago
The frequent order-placing enthusiasts should have already been educated now.
View OriginalReply0
TacoTreasury
ยท 2h ago
After May 3rd, the trend shifts +1, and there might be some movement from the Federal Reserve.
View OriginalReply0
RugPullEnjoyer
ยท 2h ago
The most annoying thing in a volatile market is thinking you're about to break through, only to see it continue sideways.
View OriginalReply0
GasFeesAfterTheRain
ยท 2h ago
The section chief's positioning is accurate; at 74,900, I'll try placing a long order on the pullback.
View OriginalReply0
EveningBreezeBorrower
ยท 2h ago
The SOL structure is relatively weak; if it can't reach 85, don't look for a long position. Better to miss out than to make a mistake.
View OriginalReply0
View More