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FOMC会议后,比特币是否会再次下跌?分析师如是说
4月29日,美联储将于明天凌晨公布利率决议。虽然市场普遍预计利率将保持不变,但历史规律显示,比特币在FOMC会议后往往出现下跌,投资者需保持风险警惕。
知名加密货币分析师 Crypto Rover 指出,自 2025 年 7 月以来,比特币几乎在每次美联储会议后都会下跌。
他预测明天的FOMC会议后,美联储可能会继续维持利率不变。且过去一周,比特币多次上攻 79,500 美元均遭拒绝,目前仍徘徊在77,000美元附近。
尤为值得警惕的是,2025年末美联储曾三次降息,每次25个基点。尽管降息通常被认为利好风险资产,但比特币在这三次降息后,比特币的市场价格同样在持续走低。
不过,也有分析师持不同观点认为,这很可能是鲍威尔作为美联储主席的最后一次 FOMC 会议,周三之后可能出现“鲍威尔式告别行情”。
Bitfinex 分析师则预计,会议前市场可能进入盘整,甚至回测 75,000美元关口。但会议结束后,比特币有望在近3个月内首次突破 80,000美元。
分析师还表示,短期内阻力最小的路径可能是盘整或回调至75,000美元区域,而只有果断突破80,000美元,才能确认更持久的牛市行情。
#美联储利率决议即将公布