Morning outlook: Exercise caution when shorting Entry timing: 1. Aggressive entry: When the price rebounds to around 76,380 - 76,430 (the area where MA5, the middle Bollinger Band, and R1 resistance level overlap), and shows signs of weakening upward momentum (such as a long upper shadow candlestick or decreasing volume), consider a light short position. 2. Conservative entry: Wait for the price to clearly break below the key support level of 76,188.93 (the lower Bollinger Band and S1 overlap), accompanied by increased volume, then follow up with a short. Stop-loss setting: It is recommended to set the stop-loss above 76,650 (slightly above the R2 resistance level of 76,466.66). This stop-loss range is about 0.57% above the current price, which is reasonable for 15-minute trading, effectively filtering market noise while controlling individual trade risk. Target prices: First target: 76,060 (near S2 support level), potential return approximately 0.2% (based on entry at 76,380). Second target: 75,900 (near S3 support level), potential return approximately 0.63%. Note: Since the current market is at the end of a consolidation phase with limited volatility, this trade mainly aims to play the directional move downward. The risk-reward ratio (about 1:1) is acceptable, but the absolute return (0.2%-0.63%) does not reach the ideal 5%-10% target. For higher returns, wait until the price effectively breaks below 75,900, then look toward lower support levels (such as the intraday low around 75,635.60), where potential returns could increase. Therefore, this is defined as a “cautious short,” and position size should be strictly controlled.