The US used to hit the Middle East and still had to pretend it was “for the oil.” Now it’s easier—once the strait opens, once it closes; tariffs get imposed, then not imposed; sometimes they’re added, sometimes they’re not; even WTI, Brent, and NASDAQ futures start spasming on their own.

Dealing with oil the “real” way is too slow. Drilling, extraction, refining, transporting oil, and selling—none of those steps make money as fast as that one pre-market sentence. Back then, aircraft carriers would sail in to collect oil fields. Now it’s just a line of text opening the mouth to collect margin, and longs and shorts line up to go pay tribute themselves.
Iran on that side probably has some experts too. Attacking allies like Israel and Saudi Arabia—Trump may say he hurts, but the screen might not feel it. If you really want him to hurt, don’t pick a time when US stocks are open; pick the market close and go after his US stock positions. Oil prices, inflation expectations, and NASDAQ futures jump together—all the “market makers” even would be reaching for a cigarette.
In the past, wars killed people; now, before the war is even clear, the accounts of futures traders on both sides are the first to die.
#美伊 # Crude oil #期货 # International oil prices #黄金 # Strait of Hormuz #中东局势 # US stocks #NASDAQ