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Grid/DCA and a single swing, to be honest, it's not about strategy superiority or inferiority, it's about whether you can sleep at night. I've seen too many projects with broken narratives, governance falling apart, liquidity evaporating—one day they're still making promises, the next day everyone is just comforting each other in the group... In times like these, the heartbeat of a single swing really can't hold up. Grid/DCA at least includes "I might be wrong" in the plan, so losses come a bit slower.
Recently, someone linked ETF capital flows, U.S. stock risk appetite, and crypto market ups and downs, sounding logical, but actually it's more about giving emotions a reason. Anyway, what I fear most isn't losing money, but losing control: if positions and rhythm get messy, people start doing stupid things. For now, surviving is more important than betting right.