My recent feeling is: spot positions are hard to hold, and futures are easily blown up; many times it's not about misjudging the direction, but about having too "stiff" a position. A simple way to explain position management: don't let any single trade flip your mood and account for the day. Positions you can sleep soundly with are your real positions; if you can't sleep, it means it's too big.

Those on-chain data tools and tagging systems are also being criticized for being laggy or misleading. To put it plainly, they mostly help you find the "weather," but whether you bring an umbrella (leverage and position size) when you go out is still up to you. I'm now taking a slower approach based on the cycle rhythm, entering and exiting in several steps, treating futures only as a seatbelt, not an accelerator... That's all for now.