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Just been watching AUD to USDT movements this week and the Aussie dollar is holding up pretty well, sitting around 0.7180 against the greenback. Interesting because the economic data coming through has been all over the place—definitely mixed signals from both sides of the equation.
On the Australian front, unemployment stayed flat at 4.3% which was what everyone expected, but job creation only hit 17,900 compared to the 20,000 forecast. That's a noticeable slowdown from the previous month, so it's not exactly screaming strength. Over in China though, the picture is equally messy—retail sales came in weaker than expected at 1.7% growth, but industrial production surprised to the upside at 5.7%. GDP growth ticked up to 1.3% quarter-on-quarter, so there's at least some momentum there.
What's keeping the AUD to USDT pair from running higher is the geopolitical noise. Middle East tensions are still simmering with the US and Iran working on ceasefire talks, and if things stay tense around the Strait of Hormuz, that typically benefits the dollar as a safe-haven play. So we're seeing the Aussie dollar supported by decent enough fundamentals, but capped by broader macro concerns. It's that classic tug-of-war—decent commodity currency support versus haven demand for the USD.