【Pre-FOMC Trading Orders】Standoff Silence Period, Discipline Above Judgment

1. Core facts: Billions-level long and short liquidation standoff

• BTC: Strong resistance above 80,252 (16.1 billion short liquidations), strong support below 73,452 (14 billion long liquidations).

• ETH: Strong resistance above 2,395 (9.5 billion short liquidations), strong support below 2,176 (8 billion long liquidations).

• Current situation: Price is compressed in a narrow range with continued decreasing volatility.

2. The only catalyst: FOMC decision (including Powell's speech)

The market has priced in “interest rates unchanged.” The only trigger for a change: Powell’s hawkish or dovish tone. The direction will be set early Wednesday morning. On the same day, multiple events such as CPI and earnings reports will overlap, creating extremely high uncertainty.

3. Key technical levels and liquidation zones

• Upper target/resistance: 82,000 (CME gap) & 80,252 (liquidation cluster of shorts).

• Lower target/support: 74,000-76,000 (structural support) & 73,452 (liquidation cluster of longs).

4. Clear trading discipline

• Prohibit any contract operations based on directional guesses in the middle zone (such as below current 77,000).

• Prohibit “betting on direction” chase orders when price approaches but has not confirmed a breakout above 80,252 or confirmed a breakdown below 73,452.

• Current only strategy: Let the market move first. Stay on the sidelines, preserve ammunition. Wait for the price to be driven by macro events, breaking through any of the above key liquidation zones with volume, then execute the right-side follow plan. $BTC $GT $ETH