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I. Market Snapshot (4/28)
• Current price: 76,700 USD; slightly down over the past 24 hours, with consolidation near the highs.
• Moving averages: Price is above the 20/50-day moving averages (74,900/73,400); short-term bias is bullish. The 200-day moving average at 84,700 is a long-term strong resistance.
• Indicators: RSI≈57 is neutral; MACD shows a death cross, and bearish momentum is strengthening.
• Pattern: The daily chart shows a bearish engulfing pattern; the 4-hour uptrend line has broken, and the high-level consolidation is weakening.
• Macro: The Fed rate decision is at 2:00 a.m. Thursday. The market expects a hawkish tone; historically, after such meetings BTC often drops sharply (10%–30%).
II. Key Price Levels
• Strong resistance: 78,000 → 78,600 (pivot R1) → 79,500 (previous high)
• Strong support: 76,000 → 75,600 (pivot S1) → 74,900 (20EMA) → 73,400 (50EMA)