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Bad news! Bitcoin bulls have completely gone silent, and a plunge-type market is underway! Where will the next low be? You’ll see it at a glance after reading this.
1. Looking across the market’s price action, after BTC experienced a month-long run of strong consecutive rallies, the bulls’ momentum had already been fully consumed. In recent sessions, selling pressure has been severely building under resistance at high levels, with heavy supply being concentrated and released. After the continuous push, a large amount of profitable positions has piled up. Once funds collectively flee, a deep pullback is inevitable—and many friends are asking: just how far will this pullback ultimately drop?
2. For now, the key short-term defense support is locked in at the 75.6k line. This is the critical defense level of the daily short-term moving average. If price touches this level, you can trim a small portion to take profits and go lightly to bet on ultra-short-term rebound profits. If this support is effectively broken, the bears will gain even more momentum, and the next core target is the 73k major integer level. In your trading, don’t blindly try to catch the bottom—follow the trend and watch support land step by step.
3. At this stage, the 77k zone has weak short-term support, but the rebound strength is extremely feeble, making it completely unsuitable to blindly chase longs or catch the bottom. Going forward, as long as there is a modest rebound and repair, it will be an excellent opportunity to add to shorts. Fans who haven’t positioned short orders yet, please seize the window. Combined with this week’s major macro events—especially the Federal Reserve interest rate decision coming up—hawkish expectations are warming up, and pressure on risk assets is clearly visible. It’s very hard for the overall downward trend to be reversed.
4. For friends who are currently holding contracts, pay attention to risk management. For high-leverage contracts, you must promptly reduce leverage and cut position size to avoid the risks of late-night wick punctures and large wick punctures. At present, the short positions initiated from the high 78.8k area have already generated solid profits. If there is a rebound, add positions to follow the move. If there is no rebound, hold steadily and patiently wait for the target support level to land before taking profit across the board.
5. Regarding this round of high-level pullback, I warned my followers in the community about the risk a week in advance. Real-time market analysis and position/entry level strategies have been continuously updated in the group. I myself also pre-positioned a heavily sized short, and have been steadily holding the position to lock in profits. The market never lacks opportunities—what’s missing is precise anticipation and a steady rhythm. For the upcoming key turning-point moments, I will also be the first to help everyone accurately grasp them! #原油价格上涨 #btc