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I’ve found that grid/DCA versus going in with one big aggressive push isn’t really about returns—it’s mainly about sleep quality… For someone like me who writes contracts based on boundary conditions, I’m most afraid of waking up in the middle of the night to see my entire position dragged along by emotions. Going all in with one push is definitely exciting and the logic is simple, but you have to be able to accept that the macro wind can change—hasn’t everyone been constantly discussing rate-cut expectations lately, and how the U.S. dollar index and risk assets have been acting up together?—and then your account will start pounding right along with your heartbeat.
In plain terms, grid and DCA are just building “I might have misread things” into the plan: slower, less blunt. You also have to factor in trading fees/Gas; otherwise, after fiddling around with small orders for a long time, you end up funneling everything to the chain anyway. In any case, I’d rather make a little less now in exchange for something steadier. If I miss out, then I miss out.